Track Record

Every Call On Record

A selection of covered names. Every thesis and price target was published publicly before the stock moved — timestamped and verifiable. The full archive is on Substack.

Selected Initiations

Showcase Coverage

Full Archive on Substack ↗

Stack Capital Group

TSX: STCK
+67%
Financials · Alt. Asset Manager
Initiated
$19.00
Price (~Jun 2026)
~$31.80
Report Type
Initiation

A closed-end alternative asset manager trading at a persistent discount to NAV, with a high-quality GP co-investment portfolio and a clear re-rating thesis. Discount compression was the driver — the fundamental work identified it before the market closed the gap.

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Hammond Power Solutions

TSX: HPS-A
+65%
Industrials · Power Equipment
Initiated
$197.00
Price (~Jun 2026)
~$325.00
Report Type
Initiation

A Canadian transformer manufacturer with structural tailwinds from grid electrification and data centre build-out. The thesis was built from capacity order data and filing forensics before the broader market recognized the magnitude of the demand shift.

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Savaria Corporation

TSX: SIS
+35%
Healthcare · Medical Devices
Initiated
$21.00
Price (~Jun 2026)
~$28.00
Report Type
Initiation

A global accessibility solutions platform with a durable recurring revenue base and a post-acquisition margin expansion story the market had underpriced. The modeling work on integration costs and margin normalization was the core of the thesis.

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BQE Water

TSX-V: BQE
+34%
Environmental · Water Treatment
Initiated
$63.00
Price (~Jun 2026)
~$84.00
Report Type
Initiation

A niche water treatment firm with proprietary bioreactor technology and long-term mine-water contracts. The business model was poorly understood by the market — the filing work clarified revenue quality and contract duration in a way that market commentary hadn't.

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Track Record Disclosure: Returns shown are from publicly published initiation date to approximately June 2026. Approximate current prices are sourced from public market data and may not reflect real-time trading prices. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Coverage shown is a selection of the 23+ names covered — it does not represent all positions, and performance of uncovered names is not reflected. All sponsored coverage is clearly disclosed. Nothing here constitutes investment advice. Not all recommendations have been profitable.

Sample Work

What the Deliverables Look Like

Four example reports — two initiations, two earnings reviews. This is what you commission.

Initiation Report PDF ↗
Exco Technologies
TSX: XTC · Industrials / Auto Parts

Full institutional-format initiation. Business overview, primary-filing financials, DCF and comparable valuation, thesis, price target, bear case.

Initiation Report PDF ↗
VitalHub Corp.
TSX: VHI · Healthcare / SaaS

Full institutional-format initiation. Healthcare IT platform analysis, ARR build, margin trajectory, multi-model valuation and explicit thesis.

Initiation Report PDF ↗
Propel Holdings
TSX: PRL · Financials / Fintech Lending

Full initiation on a fintech lender. Credit quality forensics, loan book analysis, yield and loss rate modeling, DCF and peer valuation.

Earnings Review PDF ↗
ADF Group — Q1 FY2027
TSX: DRX · Industrials / Structural Steel

Quarterly earnings review. Results vs. estimates, backlog analysis, model update, thesis check — the format delivered each reporting period under ongoing coverage.

Full Archive on Substack ↗ Commission a Report
Methodology

How the Research Gets Done

01 — Primary Filings

Every report starts from SEDAR+ and SEC source documents. MD&As, AIF, financial statements — the actual filings, not summaries.

02 — Financial Forensics

Line-by-line statement analysis. Working capital, cash conversion, accrual ratios, segment breakdowns — everything the summary numbers obscure.

03 — Multi-Model Valuation

DCF, EV/EBITDA comparables, NAV, FCF yield — whichever frameworks fit the specific business. Assumptions are explicit and sensitivity-tested.

04 — Thesis & Bear Case

An explicit price target and stated bear case before publication. If the bear case can't be built credibly, the thesis isn't ready.